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The Y2K problem began back in the 70's when the computer programmers didn't
have space to put in a four digit date. Instead, they set the date as
two digits, thinking the machines they were programming wouldn't be used
in thirty years. They were right, but no one updated it. Everyone was
under the impression that the next generation of programmers would come
in and change the date!
In this regard, Y2K can be compared to a
school project, where some students prepare early and get it out of the
way, and others wait until the last minute. I asked Mr. Koskinen what
he thought about teenagers' reaction to the problem: did they seem to
regard the issue seriously? A survey they sponsored showed that young
people pay less attention to the Y2K problem than other issues. For the
most part, he reasoned, the younger generations are less frightened by
technology and can handle it better. Younger people grew up with computers
and they know how to fix problems when they occur within the system. People
forty years of age or older, he told me, tend to be the strangers to technology
and view it as potentially dangerous.
Referring to the subject of stockpiling
food, water and money, Mr. Koskinen advised, Everyone has to make their
own judgement about what they think is important in terms of preparation
and what's going to make them comfortable. Our advice has been that we
don't think that there's any indication that there's going to be significant
problems in this country. While news reports have highlighted many people
packing their basements full of supplies in preparation for the worst,
Mr. Koskinen's advice was simply to plan as if we knew we were going to
have a long weekend winter storm or a small hurricane. Power companies,
grocery stores and pharmacies should have a 90 day supply of natural gas,
oil, food and drugs in the event that the supply chain fails. However,
people with personal situations, such as those families that have infants,
or residences that house elderly people should be advised that they may
have to prepare slightly differently than others.
With regard to many less resourceful countries,
Mr. Koskinen told me funds have been donated to the World Bank to help
bring them up to technological speed. The United States, for example,
has contributed $12 million and England has raised $17 million. We gave
them the tools, but we
can't fix the whole world's systems, Mr. Koskinen said,
Mr. Koskinen assured us that for the new
millennium, he will be monitoring the nation from The Information Coordination
Center. From there he will be tracking the country and the world, making
sure everything is going well. Thousands of people will also be working
in hospitals, power and gas companies, etc., making sure everything is
going to be fine. As a final demonstration of confidence in the readiness
for Y2K, Mr. Koskinen plans to celebrate New Years Eve aboard the New
York/Washington shuttle with his wife.
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