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A
perfect illustration of this is Heisman Trophy winner Charlie Ward. Ward
won the award, but knew he wouldn't be picked in the draft because he
was too small. He backed out, but we all know he had a profitable back
up plan playing starting point guard for the New York Knicks! This was
pre-Doug Flutie when quarterbacks had to be big and tall, presumable better
able to see the field and prevent interceptions and batted down passes.
Doug Flutie, Shaun King and Kordell Steward have defied traditional logic,
paving the way for "little" Joe Hamilton out of Georgia Tech.
At 5';10" (it may even be an inch or two less), it may be difficult
to see over the beefy defensive linemen and make reads, however, Schecter
believes because Hamilton is so athletic, he will be a third or fourth
round pick.
To
be eligible for the NFL, unlike the NBA, a player has to be three years
removed from high school. This level of maturity could be the difference
between a player like Ryan Leaf or Peyton Manning. Schecter explains,
"College graduates and older players are more mentally prepared for
the NFL. They have more experience to fall back on." Nevertheless,
there are exceptions. LaVar Arrington, who Mr. Schecter predicts will
be the number 2 pick in this year's draft, has no more to accomplish statistically
on the college level. He is basically guaranteed millions of dollars with
whichever team he signs with. Additionally, for him, there is an added
incentive to jump college ship to the NFL because a possible career threatening
injury could ruin his chances for making the NFL another year. General
feeling is, going to the NFL with a contract that guarantees money, makes
suffering an injury a little easier to endure. Last year Peter Warrick
was in Arrington's position. He had broken many college records and was
predicted to be a high pick in the draft. He disregarded the risk of injury
and returned to FSU primarily because he had a burning desire to be a
part of a team that was to be crowned a national champion. Mr. Schecter
not only believes that Warrick will be a high pick in this year's draft,
he predicts him to be number 1.
What
factors determine where a player is picked in the draft? For the high
or low profile college players, the scouting combines are crucial. They
are the major factor that determine a player's fate in the draft. "Borderline"
players fighting to get a shot in the NFL need to go to the All Star games
to showcase their skills for NFL scouts and player personnel. These games
are especially important for these hopefuls coming from atypical NFL resource
colleges. They haven't had the television exposure to be taken more seriously
in the draft. Mr. Schecter admits that some of these low-profile players
may end up being the "hidden gems" and the future stars of NFL
teams. In fact, many pro-bowl players were low round draft picks. A prime
example of this is Hall of Famer Jerry Rice who came out of Mississippi
Valley State. If he hadn't had Bill Walsh taking note of him in the All
Star Games, he might not have ended up where he is today. |
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